I do agree that he's unnecessarily harbingering and that the future is brighter than he paints it. But I also think that if really smart, savvy founders aren't already starting to keep away from incubators like YC and the acqui-hire path, they will pretty soon as they all start to get branded as alternative education paths.

I know I wouldn't apply to any incubator if I had a startup, I've felt this way for awhile now. They just don't seem to offer much value, rather being just a grand distraction, YC being the only one worth anything and even that's arguable. Capital isn't as valuable as it used to be, why give up control when you can generate it yourself? But it's really the only value an incubator adds.