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When was OTS written again? That was effectively an expert system that could do your taxes and it was around at least ten years ago. It didn't even need transformers.

No one has a good benchmark for what AGI is. Already LLMs are more capable at most tasks than most random people off the street. I think at this point people keep asking about because they're trying to ask some deeper philosophical question like "when will it be human" but don't want to say that because it sounds silly.



> Already LLMs are more capable at most tasks than most random people off the street.

I cannot imagine having the narrow conceptualization of the universe of human tasks necessary to even be able to say this with a straight face, irrespective of ones qualitative assessment of how well LLMs do the things that they are capable of doing.


Why don't you go out with a laptop and offer people cash prizes. See how well the average person does.


Yeah, I'll ask a carpenter to build a simple crud app.

Then I'll ask the LLM to frame a house.




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